Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)During the year, A-share companies threw out nearly 1,000 single and medium-term cash dividend plans. According to Wind statistics, as of December 11th, 940 listed companies have thrown out 994 single and medium-term cash dividend plans this year, with the number of them increasing by 269.41% year-on-year. The total amount of dividends involved was 667.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.24%. Among them, 791 orders have been implemented, and dividends have reached 360.768 billion yuan; 203 single pending implementation, the total amount of dividends to be paid is 306.751 billion yuan. The researchers said that the active mid-term dividends of listed companies are conducive to enhancing investors' sense of gain and boosting investors' confidence. In addition, stable dividends can provide stable income, reduce investment risks, and help promote the formation of value investment concepts and long-term investment concepts. (Securities Daily)
Erdogan, Turkey: Thanks to the leaders of Somalia and Ethiopia for achieving historical reconciliation.Euronext: Due to an accident in the waterway, the delivery point along the Mosel River of the February 2025 rapeseed futures (COMG5) contract will be unavailable until further notice.Morgan Stanley downgraded Hikvision to equal rating, with a target price of RMB in 36 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, was previously rated as over-matched. The target price is 36 yuan RMB, which is up by 14%.
Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky explicitly rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union came to an end, and we made the latest efforts for peace, proposing a ceasefire on December 25th and conducting a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ". Hungarian Foreign Minister Jardot said on the same day that Orban mentioned the proposal of ceasefire and exchange of prisoners of war when talking with Putin, but Kiev rejected this proposal. It is said that the Hungarian government contacted Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and Ukrainian President's Office Director Ermak.A number of evidences confirmed the criminal facts of the suspect in the shooting of executives in unitedhealth group, USA. On December 11th, local time, Jessica Tisch, the police chief of new york City, USA, said that the gun on Luigi Man Ghione, the suspect suspected of killing the CEO of unitedhealth group, matched the shell casings found at the crime scene. In addition, Man Ghione's fingerprints are consistent with those on the water bottle and protein stick wrapping paper found near the shooting scene. At present, the suspect Man Ghione is still being held in Pennsylvania.US stocks closed: Nasdaq stood at 20,000 points for the first time in history, and star technology stocks such as Google and Tesla hit record highs. US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow down 0.22%, the S&P 500 index up 0.82% and the Nasdaq up 1.77%, breaking through 20,000 points for the first time and hitting a new record high. Star technology stocks are climbing, with Tesla, Google, Amazon, Meta and Netflix all hitting record highs. Among them, Tesla and Google rose by nearly 6%, while Amazon, Meta and Nai soared by more than 2%. Bitcoin regained its position of $100,000, and cryptocurrency concept stocks soared collectively. MicroStrategy rose by more than 9%, Riot Platforms rose by more than 6%, and Bit Digital and Coinbase rose by nearly 4%. Gold and silver mining stocks generally rose, Cordillen Mining rose more than 5%, Pan American Silver rose more than 3%, and harmony Gold and Hekela Mining rose nearly 3%.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13